Zhang Jie: Foreign Trade Is Expected To Continue To Stabilize To A Good Momentum.

According to media reports, the recent National Conference on business affairs has revealed three important signals of next year's foreign trade work: to weaken the growth target, to maintain a stable trend in foreign trade, and to open wider to the service sector.

The conference did not set specific targets for foreign trade growth next year.

This is a two consecutive year national business conference to weaken foreign trade growth goals.

Li Guanghui, vice president of the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said that we should get rid of the speed complex.

The rapid growth of China's economy as a whole is one of the characteristics of the new normal. But in the commercial field, its specific form has its own characteristics, and its internal trade circulation and consumption are independent and controllable, and it should be protected at high speed. However, in the open economy, the externality of the world economy can not be controlled by us. Therefore, it is impossible to treat objectively and wishfully.

Zhang Jie said that China's foreign trade next year

Relatively large, this pressure comes from multiple factors. First, the RMB exchange rate goes down, so that if we use Renminbi to calculate the growth of foreign trade, it looks better. If we use the world's general currency to calculate our foreign trade growth figures, it will be even more ugly.

Second, it is undeniable that the world has entered the stage of trade protection, which means that the volume of trade across the world is shrinking dramatically. Not only in China, but also in the whole world, it is also the second pressure on foreign trade.

Third, oil prices have risen much earlier than the beginning of the year, and the overall world commodity and resource prices have recovered and risen.

As a result, the reduction of commodity prices will be pmitted to the export side, and the prices of our export commodities will decrease as well, and there will be a larger trade surplus. But it is very difficult to maintain such a large trade surplus next year.

At the same time, the pressure of foreign exchange is also very large. When the trade surplus is high, the RMB has the pressure of depreciation. How can we maintain the stability of the exchange rate in the condition of even narrowing of the trade surplus? If the exchange rate fluctuates greatly, then the foreign trade figures will be very different from the foreign currency or the third party third country currency.

"Many people say,

Exports can be promoted. As we all know, after devaluation, we can promote exports. People buy your things cheaper. We see export growth in domestic currencies, but in the third country currencies, exports do not grow.

Therefore, under these combined pressures, the good life of China's foreign trade in the past two years may change to the next year's tight days.

Zhang Jie said.

Recently, there are foreign media reports.

It feels that its situation in China and investment opportunities are not as good as before.

Shen Danyang said that in recent years, there have been some changes in the environment of absorbing foreign capital in China, especially the increase of factor costs, fierce competition in the market, and the relative advantage of some foreign-funded enterprises gradually shrinking. Some foreign-funded enterprises which rely on low cost and preferential policies have indeed encountered difficulties in operation, and the level of profitability has declined.

However, most of these statements and reports are biased, and can not fully reflect the real situation of China's investment environment and investment opportunities.

In fact, since 2010, China has used more than 110 billion dollars of foreign capital every year, ranking the highest in the world.

In 1-11 months of this year, the actual use of foreign capital in China amounted to 731 billion 800 million yuan, an increase of 3.9%, ranking the first in developing countries for 24 years in a row.

In fact, the Chinese government has made continuous efforts in improving the investment environment, and has received wide recognition and positive comments from all walks of life.

The joint China World Trade Center Conference on 2016 world investment report shows that China is still one of the most attractive investment hosts in the world. China EU Chamber of Commerce "business confidence survey 2016" report shows that more than 2/3 of the EU's investment enterprises in China have made profits; the Chinese Chamber of Commerce in 2016 showed that more than 60% of the member enterprises listed China as one of the three largest investment destinations in the world, and 68% of the enterprises had plans to expand their investment in China.

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