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Foreign Trade Growth Under The New Normal Should Get Rid Of Speed Complex

2016/12/27 22:13:00 16

New NormalForeign Trade And Economic Situation

A spokesman for China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said recently that China, like other countries, has been following closely the transition team of President Trump and its possible policy direction in the future. China and the United States, as two big powers, have broad common interests. Cooperation is the only correct choice for both sides.

People are concerned about the possibility of launching a trade war with China after Trump took office. Some experts at home and abroad believe that there is no possibility of large-scale trade war between the US and China. It is possible for us to hold high the banner of "the United States first" and prepare for a tough stance to safeguard the interests of the United States, and threaten the high tariffs imposed on China's goods exported to the United States. For Trump and his team, the strategic tightening and tactical tougher trend represents the inevitable trade friction between China and the United States as the world's two largest economies. As a coping party, China's flexibility in its trade strategy should be mentioned on the agenda, otherwise it will be in the right direction. International trade war They are passive and downwind.

Trump's increasing pressure on China's trade export is actually a "double-edged sword". The United States and its allies sharply cut imports from China to weaken China's influence in Global trade, throughout the whole process of Trump's candidacy. However, as China's second largest economy and the largest exporter in the world, its position and size determine whether China's foreign trade will be subjected to the post export force when dealing with China's foreign trade. This is a question that the US presidential candidate Trump and his transition team must not consider.

   Sino US trade The volume is so big that trade is long before you have me, I have you, no one can live without anyone, and no one can treat anyone. This determines that in the game between China and the United States, any hand in hand must know that between the lifting and lowering, the palm of the hand is meat, and the pain will be felt. For example, the United States will impose a 45% tariff on China's exports to the US, and China is bound to oppose it. In the case of soybean trade, China expects to import 86 million tons of soybeans in the crop season from 2016 to 2017, of which 30 million tons will come from the United States. Once the Sino US trade war is launched and the first wave of counter measures is taken, China may place its target on agricultural products (12.370, -0.04, -0.32%). On the other hand, raising taxes on Chinese products is bound to increase the prices of consumer goods in the United States, thereby increasing the consumption burden of the American people.

Over the years, the US trade with China tends to "preempt" because of the wrong expectation of the so-called "tough America, China will give in" in the US political circles. This idea is obviously somewhat "white eyed to look down on people". During the decades of China's Global trade, China has accumulated considerable experience and lessons. Especially in the key points of China's comprehensive national strength, the rise and fall of China's strength and capability has doomed China's measures and measures to deal with foreign trade disputes in order to make China win. Even US trade experts have seen this clearly.

   U.S.A It has the advantage of the United States, China has Chinese expertise, and as a Chinese leader, it needs to study the transition team of the US presidential candidate Trump and its possible policy trend in the future, and find out a special tactic of "winning the enemy". By referring to the mature foreign trade experience and combining with China's national conditions, we will establish a trade remedy system that is consistent with international practice. We need to see the "short board" in China's trade. In particular, we need to enhance the speed and pace of accelerating the transformation and upgrading of foreign trade enterprises. We will enhance the overall strength and competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry through product innovation and industrial creation, and push foreign trade enterprises to the high end of the industrial chain, and rapidly increase the high added value of export commodities, so as to realize the leap from China made to China.

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