In 2016, Xinjiang Cotton Target Price Cut Cotton Seed Reduction?

Recently, the national development and Reform Commission announced

For each ton of 18600 yuan / ton, compared with 2014, 2105, respectively, down 1200 yuan / ton, 500 yuan / ton, and from the time of release, more than 20 days ahead of 2015, the current territory

Planting has not yet started, which will help farmers adjust their planting structure and prepare agricultural materials.

In recent years, the research institutes and relevant departments have conducted a survey on the intention of cotton planting in 2016, and the results have shown a downward trend. The mainland the Yellow River basin and the Yangtze River valley cotton area have a relatively large decline.

Cotton area decreased slightly.

Among them, the National Bureau of Statistics survey data showed that the national cotton planting intention dropped by more than 10%; the China Cotton Association survey results showed that the average cotton planting intention decreased by 11.6%; the Cotton Research Institute showed that the national intention to plant cotton was reduced by 8.8%.

It is understood that in 2016 the Xinjiang cotton target price cut, most of the farmers in the cold treatment, do not want to talk too much, especially in southern Xinjiang.

Growers, high cotton costs and high picking costs have a great impact on earnings.

Some people believe that in 2016, the adjustment of cotton planting area in Xinjiang was relatively limited, and the planting area of machine picked cotton and long staple cotton would inevitably expand. When farmers' income per kilogram of seed cotton had been locked on the line, increasing yield per unit area and linen percentage became the only way to raise income.

The reasons are as follows:

1, there is little room for adjusting crop planting in Xinjiang, especially in southern Xinjiang, where water shortage, lack of people and pportation capacity are lacking.

First of all, the effect of grain crops and cotton price comparison is not obvious. In 2015, Korla, Akesu and some cotton producing areas in North Xinjiang yield less than cotton and wheat.

Along with the gradual implementation of directional grain sales and the implementation of corn throwing and storage in April, prices of corn and other grain crops are facing downward pressure.

Secondly, the water resources of the three main cotton producing areas in southern Xinjiang are becoming more and more intense.

According to the data provided by the water resources department of the autonomous region, in early 2014, the total volume of economic and social water consumption in Xinjiang has reached 61 billion 700 million cubic meters, and the utilization rate of water resources has reached 74%, which is much higher than the principle that the utilization rate of water resources in the arid and semi-arid areas of the world should not exceed 60%. Therefore, it is the only choice for some cotton farmers to grow cotton.

In addition, the disadvantage of agricultural products in pportation, price and sales channels can hardly be compensated in the short term.

Relatively speaking, the storage period of seed cotton and lint cotton is longer than that of melon and fruit and other cash crops. Packing is convenient to pport and needs large quantities both inside and outside the country.

2, the cultivation of machine picked cotton is at a peak, especially in the southern Xinjiang cotton region of Korla, Akesu and Kashi.

In the 2015 year, the purchase price of hand picked cotton in southern Xinjiang was higher than that in machine picked cotton 1.00-1.20 yuan / kg. The price difference between the two countries in northern Tacheng, Jinghe, bole and other places even reached 1.40-1.50 yuan / kg, but the price difference between hand picked cotton and machine picked cotton was only 400-500 yuan / ton at the same level, and the machine picked cotton was superior to hand picking cotton in terms of fracture strength, length and micron value.

From the cost of planting, the cost of planting cotton harvester and hand picked cotton is about 1.20-1.30 yuan / kg (including picking up the cost). For farmers, it is more advantageous to save time and effort to harvest cotton with less time per plant and easier seed sale.

In addition, with the rapid development of intra industry and enterprises, the demand for labor force is more and more vigorous, the pressure of employment for young people is reduced, the number of peasants who are separated from land increases, liquidity increases, the dependence on land decreases, and the machine harvested cotton is increased, so that mechanization is in line with the interests of all parties.

3, the income of farmers' cotton planting is not much different from that of 2015. If the weather is coordinated, the yield per unit area will increase, and cotton farmers' income will be increased.

It is understood that the price of agricultural fertilizer, plastic film, cotton seed and other agricultural products decreased this year compared with 2014 and 2015. The decline of urea and other agricultural products was slightly larger. The cost of cotton planting decreased, which basically offset the bad target price reduction of 500 yuan / ton.

According to the current cotton seed price calculation, the target price of 18600 yuan / ton is converted to about 7.40 yuan / kg of seed cotton (calculated by 300 kilograms per unit area), compared with that in 2015, it is reduced by 0.20 yuan / kg. If the main cotton producing area is sunny, the yield per unit area is more than 300 kilograms, which is not very difficult for most cotton areas in Xinjiang, and the farmers' income is slightly improved.

Recently, the national cotton market monitoring system is investigating the cotton planting intention nationwide. At present, it has entered the stage of data collection and analysis. In 2016, the national cotton planting area survey report is expected to meet before the end of March.