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Dollar Shock Low Still Can Do More Gold And Silver Look Shock

2014/4/1 22:22:00 43

US DollarsGold And SilverFinancial Management

The core PCE < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > price index < /a > released by the US Department of Commerce in February is not far from the 2% target of the Federal Reserve's inflation rate of P.

Specific data show that the US core PCE price index rose 0.1% in February, the expected value increased by 0.1%, and the previous value increased by 0.1%.

The US core PCE price index increased by 1.1% in February and 1.1% in the previous year.

In February, the US PCE price index increased by 0.9% annually, the former value increased by 1.2%. The US monthly price index of PCE increased by 0.1% in February, and the former value increased by 0.1%.

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< p > the US personal income monthly rate rose 0.3% in February, an increase of 0.2%, an increase of 0.4% in the previous period, an increase of 0.3% in February, an increase of 0.3% in the US, and a 0.4% increase in the previous value.

Data are unfavourable to the US dollar.

The US consumer confidence index of University of Michigan in March was revised above the initial value, but still below the February level, because consumers are less optimistic about the overall economic outlook.

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< p > data show that the US consumer confidence index of University of Michigan in March was revised to 80 from 79.9, less than expected 80.5, and the final value in February was 81.6.

The two figures are not favorable for us dollars.

We note that the core PCE price index has a downward trend.

Last Thursday, the four quarter core PCE annual rate of 1.2%, and two this month 1.1%, is still in a downward trend.

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The risk of deflation is still p.

Last week, the Fed thought inflation was between 1.4% and 1.6% this year.

Whether or not we can achieve this goal remains to be seen.

Even so, according to this inflation level, 2% will be difficult at the end of the 1 quarter of next year.

Technically, the US dollar index fluctuated narrowly on Friday.

There are only 20 basis points.

In short terms, the US dollar has strong technical support in 80 and 79.90 areas.

Stress is concerned about the effectiveness of 80.25-80.35's stress.

Interval pactions can be considered in operation.

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Below P, the euro, Swiss franc and a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > Sterling /a > differentiation trend continues.

Data released by the German Federal Statistical Office on Friday showed that the annual rate of consumer price index (CPI) in Germany rose by 1% in March, an increase of 1.1%, an increase of 1.2% in February, an increase of 0.3% in the month, an increase of 0.4% in February and an increase of 0.5% in February.

Germany's inflation slowdown in March exceeded expectations, exacerbating fears of deflation in the euro area.

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P > March 20th -3 25 March 20th, when the euro was held, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Friday cloth report showed that speculators held a net multiple of 13357 euros, a net multiple of 39634 hands, showing a weaker willingness of speculators to continue to see more of the euro.

On the contrary, the report shows that speculators are holding a net increase of 4188 pounds, a net bullion of 29724 hands, showing that speculators are more willing to continue to see more pounds.

The dollar / yen broke ahead on Friday.

There is a greater chance of upward shocks in the aftermarket, so we can consider continuing to do more after adjusting and stabilizing.

Today's static reference to the following operation suggests that you can dynamically join studios or refer to author micro-blog (or blog).

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< p > < strong > spot > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > gold and silver < /a >: < /strong > /p >


(P) the White House issued a statement on Friday (March 28th) that Russian President Putin and President Obama spoke on the phone to discuss the proposal to resolve the Ukraine issue through diplomatic means.

In a telephone conversation, Obama suggested that Putin reply to the US proposal on Ukraine in writing.

The proposal says that the international side will ensure that Russians in Crimea are well protected.

The White House said Obama proposed to discuss the next steps by John Kerry and Russian foreign minister, Kerrey.

The White House said in a statement that Obama urged Russia to refrain from further provocation against Ukraine, including the build-up of troops at the Ukraine border.

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< p > I think the Russian side is unlikely to make any concessions on the Crimea issue.

However, there is little chance of further upgrading of geopolitical conflicts.

Geopolitical events have shifted to economic data.

This week's non farm and European Central Bank [micro-blog] interest rate resolutions will be issued, which will be decisive for market impact.

It is widely expected that US employment data will go well. If this is true, it will suppress gold and silver.

On the contrary, it is more profitable for gold and silver than expected.

Monday's data show that the market is expected to increase by 190 thousand of non-agricultural products, and if 160 thousand is bad for the US dollar, gold and silver will be more profitable.

If 190 thousand or more, gold and silver will constitute negative and negative pressure.

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P, technology and gold and silver rebounded moderately on Friday.

The line is closed.

At the beginning of last week, the author pointed out that gold had relatively strong technical support near $1285, and the target was about 1285 dollars after falling below 1209 US dollars. The reason is also very simple. First of all, gold will rebound at any time in the short term of $100 a week, but there is no decent rebound before.

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< p >, so it is not surprising that a rebound has occurred in key technical positions.

Second, $1285 is an important technology support, and the Fibonacci percentage of gold from 2013.12.31 to 2014.3.15 in the rising band is measured at 50%, at 1285 US dollars.

Technically, gold has been showing signs of rebound, but it is not too optimistic for the height of gold to rebound.

The whole is a situation of maintaining concussion.

The strong pressure of silver is US $20.10-20.10. If opportunity rebounded near the pressure area, it could be short.

Silver is also strong enough to support us $19.60, so we can try to do more.

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