The Social Security Fund Is Adding &Nbsp To The Market.
Although A shares showed a "seven up eight" pattern, the trend in August has been A prophecy Although there was no expectation of "a good start" in September, I believe that this year's food market will still come, for the following reasons:
First, the growth rate of CPI in August has dropped, but the reasons are still high. Tail up Factors that cause new price increases are not obvious. With the global Stagflation The risk is rising. The finance ministers and central bank governors of the group of seven, composed of the United States, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and the United Kingdom, held a summit in Marseille, France, on Friday to discuss how to take action to revitalize the slowing global economy and set the tone for easing the difficulties.
Second, as for the domestic market, due to the need to tighten policy, capital is constantly flowing out, but the interest rate that has been looking for has never failed to rise again. The only explanation is that the current market funds may not be too tight. Authoritative market participants said: the central bank will not reduce the reserve requirement ratio of some banks or all banks after expanding the deposit reserve to the base. The signal conveyed by this situation is worth noticing. If the policy is no longer tightened, the situation of too tight funds will be improved.
Fourth, the valuation of A shares is at the bottom of history. The average price to earnings ratio of Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities dropped to 17.3 times, the most undervalued since October 27, 2008. The average price earnings ratio of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index also dropped to 13.16 times, the lowest in nearly two years, indicating that the market has the basis for launching the market. Recently, the central bank's expansion of the deposit reserve for commercial banks is nothing but bad for bank stocks, but bank stocks are not rising. The real estate sector is stabilizing in the context of the real price of housing prices. This shows that the weight of large cap stocks has gone too far, and there is no reason why they will continue to fall. In addition to the high growth enterprise market, other sectors are breaking up, breaking up, breaking up and emerging in an endless stream.
Fifth, from the technical point of view, the SK K line stabilized at 2437 points and 2459 points, forming a standard double bottom form. As long as it no longer creates a new low, it can basically confirm that the bottom is established. Since the beginning of September, the volume of trading in the Shanghai stock market has fallen by 70 billion yuan in 5 trading days, and the continuous volume means that the short selling power is gradually decreasing. On Wednesday, the Shanghai stock index closed in Zhongyang and stood at the 2500 integer pass. Judging from the moving average, the stock index successfully recovered the 5 day moving average, but the average above the average was tight and the pressure was obvious. Judging from other indicators, KDJ bottomed up, the three line quickly stabilized, MACD green column shortening, two line leveling, quantity still lingering low, and want to formally get out of intermediate rebound trend, quantity is an important index to determine the height of rebound. From the point of view of game, the main force will focus on the 2500 point and use the bottom area to panic. Shock To complete the established bottom change action.
In terms of operation, if you lose in this year's fall, calm down and look for reasons. Since you still have some food, you can't stop eating. Do not lose confidence in trading because of losses. If you are caught, there is no need to panic. Patiently wait for the bottom to stabilise and wait patiently for the hard won relief or loss reduction opportunities this year. Once the volume is enlarged to more than 100 billion yuan, you can copy guys into the field and pick up bargains. On the variety, the first choice is the first big capital concern, and the recent adjustment of the larger share price.
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