In The New Year, The Purchase And Storage Price Increased By &Nbsp; Jiangsu'S Cotton Planting Intention Was Positive.
With the change of time and season, cotton production in Jiangsu province basically showed up in 2011, and only the sale and sale of processed lint and some cotton by-products were left. In the beginning of 2012 cotton production is being prepared, a new production and marketing work will start gradually from March.
1, 2011
Jiangsu
Cotton production general assessment
。
In 2011, the total area of cotton planting in the province was about 3 million 800 thousand mu, with an area of about 3 million 600 thousand mu.
Because of the different disasters during the birth period, the cotton production situation in the whole province is not very balanced, and the larger production rate is Yancheng City. The actual output per unit area and total output of the whole city are lower than those reported at the end of last year. In some areas, only 100 catties of cotton per mu are produced, and the seed cotton is not more than three hundred jin.
By the end of February, the whole province
cotton
The total output of the whole province is 75 kilograms, and the total output is nearly six million. Its output per unit area and total production level are the lowest in nearly four years.
By the end of February, it is estimated that 90% of cotton resources will enter the acquisition channel. At the end of February, the purchase price of seed cotton in Dafeng and Sheyang will be 8 yuan per kilogram left, which is the same as that at the beginning of the opening scale. It is 0.20-0.40 yuan lower than the annual high price. In 2011, the local cotton seed had only 7.60-7.80 yuan a kilogram before the Spring Festival. After the Spring Festival, the cotton price rose slightly, but it seems to have dropped slightly in the near future, but the acquisition on the market has been sporadic.
Two, 2012 Jiangsu cotton production intention.
Many surveys and media have reported that Jiangsu cotton will continue downward in 2012, and so far, various phenomena still support this statement.
The most important thing is that this year's "late spring chill" weather in the vast cotton growing areas of northern Jiangsu has been extended to "waking up insects", and farmers have little to do with buying seeds, digging the ground, digging stubble, fertilizing the seedbed and so on.
In addition, the relatively low efficiency of cotton planting, the endless market changes, the imbalance of input and output ratio, the risk of production and marketing, and farmers' going out to work for business, are all reducing farmers' confidence in planting cotton and planting cotton area.
However, the objective analysis of cotton production trend is still uncertain and will affect the cotton area.
For example, the newly issued cotton purchase and storage price is 20400 yuan per ton, 600 yuan more than in 2011.
This year, on the basis of last year's 600 yuan and unlimited storage, it should be interpreted as a positive signal. From the understanding, after the promulgation of the new national cotton storage policy, many farmers have entered the choice again, because the new cotton breeding in the mainland has not started yet, and the decision to seed and not grow cotton is also three to four weeks, because in the three and April, the cotton and cotton in the mainland can be built in a month, and the supply of seeds and other means of production is guaranteed. Therefore, cotton production is mainly related to the cotton production.
policy
The problem of turning the popular will under the control of price, market, environment and risk.
Therefore, it is necessary to comprehensively analyze the cotton planting area in Jiangsu this year.
Optimistic analysis of the province's cotton planting area in 2012 of 300-320 mu, mainly reducing the geographical area in Yancheng and Nantong two main production areas, because these two cities "two" construction speed is faster, agricultural structure adjustment pace, farmers income obvious effect, starting from reality, cotton planting benefit difference will not stay in the hearts of the people, not to return confidence, the cotton cut here is of course.
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