Sustainable Strategic Policy Of Textile Materials
Cotton textile materials, led by cotton, have suffered a lot of frenzy in recent years, chemical fiber, cotton spinning enterprises, and cotton mills. Weaving mill Clothing enterprises have no eggs under the nest of the entire industrial chain.
On the one hand, the industry has struggled to think about the possible reasons for the sharp fluctuations in textile raw materials. After failing many times, it has tried to predict the future market situation. On the other hand, it has become aware of the various problems in the supply of textile materials, and explores its long-term sustainable development.
Thus, the first "China" Textile raw materials Market forum came into being.
Cotton supply and demand balance in recent two years
Although the pattern of textile raw materials has never been static, the situation over the past year has attracted more attention.
Natural fibers, mainly made of cotton, and chemical fibers mainly composed of polyester and viscose fibers have long constituted the most important raw material pattern for the textile and garment industry. Natural fibers and chemical fibers have basically owned half of them after the process. Originally, along with the economic development and social progress, more and more people began to "return to innocence", and prefer to use relatively comfortable, natural cotton and other natural fiber products. Suddenly, however, High cotton price People are caught off guard. "Low cotton prices are gone forever" and "cotton may only be used on high-end products".
Gao Fang, executive vice president of China Cotton Association, introduced the 2010/2011 cotton related situation in this forum. According to the forecast, the domestic cotton output in the year is about 6 million 650 thousand tons, and the national cotton reserves will be 1 million tons. It is expected to import 3 million tons (up to 1 million 950 thousand tons in April this year), the total amount of resources is about 10 million 650 thousand tons, the yarn production is expected to reach 27 million tons (up to 18 million 130 thousand tons in April), the total consumption will reach 10 million 600 thousand tons, and the supply and demand will be in a tight balance. In addition, at present, the turnover of cotton in China is around 1 million 250 thousand tons, and the turnover is about 90%. The surplus cotton is basically concentrated in the hands of farmers in the the Yellow River River Basin.
As a major cotton producing country and an important import source country of cotton in the United States, cotton cultivation in the United States is not optimistic. According to Mao Kailin, director of the international cotton association of China, drought in Texas is not conducive to cotton growth. At the same time, the price of corn and soybean is higher than that of cotton in the United States. According to the prediction by the US Department of agriculture (USDA), the world cotton output in is about 1 million 153 thousand packs (about 25 million 20 thousand tons), which consumes about 1 million 166 thousand packages (about 25 million 300 thousand tons). The world cotton output in 2011/2012 has increased by about 1 million 275 thousand packs (about 27 million 670 thousand tons) and consumed about 1 million 200 thousand packages (about 26 million 40 thousand tons). In the past two years, the world's cotton supply and demand situation is also in a tight balance.
The output of natural fibers such as wool, linen and silk is very limited and there is no possibility of significant growth. This means that the raw material structure of the textile industry will undergo significant changes. Theoretically speaking, chemical fiber will occupy an increasing proportion.
The bottleneck of viscose raw materials is very prominent.
Since chemical fiber is the biggest growth point of textile materials in the future, it is not easy to develop chemical fibre vigorously. Obviously, things are not so simple. Judging from the current situation, although the polyester fiber based chemical fiber varieties are taking the road of "super cotton imitation", the varieties that are truly comfortable with cotton are viscose fibers. Therefore, the development space of viscose fiber is very obvious. But what is fatal is that the shortage of viscose raw material pulp has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the industry.
Wang Xiaobao, director of Zhejiang's Limited by Share Ltd technology center, analyzed the use of viscose raw materials in detail. More than 90% of the domestic viscose industry uses cotton pulp as raw material. These pulp factories are relatively scattered, with a small quantity and small quantity, without the ability to control raw materials, and the quality is difficult to guarantee. By 2000, domestic viscose fiber production capacity has been expanding, but cotton pulp is limited by limited cotton lint resources, and it is difficult to expand production in large scale. Its output is only 600 thousand tons ~70 million tons, so domestic wood pulp is imported from abroad. By 2010, the proportion of domestic wood pulp has exceeded 60% of cotton pulp. The dependence of wood pulp imports is high, and the pricing power is in the hands of foreign related enterprises.
Especially in recent times, raw materials fluctuate vigorously, viscose fiber business is extremely difficult. At present, nearly 80% enterprises in the whole industry are in a state of loss. Only a very few raw material procurement strategies have a good profit. According to reporters, viscose fiber enterprises in order to survive, through paper pulp (pulp made dissolving pulp) and other ways to reduce costs. At present, the cost of using cotton pulp, wood pulp, pulp and bamboo pulp as raw materials is quite different.
Chen Jiumei, China's marketing director of PCI, a world-renowned consultancy, also believes that almost all the dissolving wood pulp is exported to China. The rising price of dissolving pulp and the tight supply have brought tremendous pressure to China's viscose fiber enterprises. Although there are already many reports that there will be a large number of new production capacity of dissolving pulp in 2011~2012, including Chenming paper purchasing Shandong Hailong, sun paper industry, Fujian Nanping paper industry and so on, but Chen Jiu Mei is not optimistic, because these enterprises are also facing the problems of timber supply and product quality. However, she still said that the Austria Lenzing Co predicted that the supply gap of world fiber fiber 10 million tons will be replaced by viscose fiber by 2020.
Multi measures to ensure stable supply of {page_break}
"Raw material supply is the foundation for the development of the textile industry. We must improve the development level of the chemical fiber industry, strengthen the construction of natural fiber production bases such as cotton, enrich the supply channels of raw materials, optimize the structure of raw materials, and ensure the supply of raw materials." Xu Kunyuan, vice president of the China Textile Industry Association, said that in the "12th Five-Year" and longer period, measures must be taken to ensure the sustainable development of textile materials. In particular, he emphasized that the research and application of biomass fiber should be strengthened, and the recycling of resources should be strengthened, so that the proportion of textile recycled fiber to total fiber processing increased to 15% in 2015.
As a kind of Chinese characteristic fiber, bamboo pulp fiber has become an important variety of viscose fiber under the efforts of the Tianzhu fiber industry alliance in the past 5 years. Bamboo pulp has played an important role in making up for the shortage of viscose raw materials. On this forum, Li Zhenfeng, deputy chief engineer of Hebei JJG Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. elaborated on the "25" development plan of Tianzhu industry during the "12th Five-Year" period: to achieve the great development of China's bamboo fiber, the big weather and the big pattern. He specifically explained that by 2015, the total output of bamboo fiber will reach 250 thousand tons / year, including fine denier bamboo, functional bamboo and Tianzhu, high strength Tianzhu, Tianzhu filament and so on. At the same time, the product application structure is 65% for clothing, 30% for home textiles, 5% for industry, and 100 for Tianzhu alliance. At present, Anhui Tianzhu fiber base and Taiwan high strength fiber base have been put into operation. In 2015, Hebei, Jilin, Shandong, Sichuan, Hunan, Anhui, Fujian, Yunnan and other parts of the country will develop together.
Fu Baozong, an Associate Research Fellow of the national development and Reform Commission's Industrial Research Institute, concluded that the fastest growth of domestic clothing exports was followed by textile exports. The slowest was raw material exports, which showed that with the increase in raw material prices and processing costs, the industry tended to trade in finished products. He also wants the industry to think: when the domestic raw material supply situation is grim, should we import products at high cost and produce at the cost of energy and environment, should we consider a greater degree of domestic demand?
"The goal of a strong nation of chemical fibre is most promising." Zheng Junlin, Secretary General of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, quoted the views of the industry to express his hope for the future of the chemical fiber. But at the same time, he warned that the development and application of chemical fiber products must be cautious, and the various systems needed to be built should not be left behind.
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