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A Possible Stock Picking Strategy.

2011/1/25 15:33:00 38

Bull Market

Summary: at present, the selection of dark horse is mainly based on performance. Stock selection The stock selection based on subject matter is mainly based on game theory. Because too many people choose stocks for performance and growth. Suggestion: people abandon me and abandon others. Put the emphasis on the subject matter and put it on a few people.


Well chosen. shares You can make huge profits, choose the wrong stocks, and lose big money in the bull market. This is the new round. bull market New features. Stock selection has become the key point for the majority of investors to speculate on stocks. Accordingly, various methods of promoting dark horse emerge as the times require. All kinds of stock selection articles occupy the hits list of major websites. However, what are the advantages and disadvantages of the numerous black horse selection methods and the articles recommended for stocks? What is the scope of its application and most importantly, what is the most suitable method for the next stage?


At present, there are three ways to choose black horse: first, the method of stock selection based on performance. Second, the stock selection method based on the theme of speculation. Third, the stock selection method based on game theory, opposite theory and Hezhuang method. The first method now occupies a leading position.


Taking performance as the main basis for stock selection, it is divided into three ways: pure performance, fund and brokerage. Pure performance is looking for stocks that will increase significantly. The theoretical basis is that as long as the performance is substantially increased, the share price will rise sharply. And the way to follow the fund is to find the fund from the public information. The basis is: A, the fund has strong research ability. B, the fund is also looking at performance. C, the fund has a considerable amount of money. Once they enter a large amount of money, it means that large funds will come in, and there is a possibility of a substantial increase. That is, finding funds with the fund in combination of performance and capital. It's about the way securities companies recommend stocks. The theory is based on the fact that securities firms also have long research capacity and considerable amount of capital, so the stocks they choose will also increase significantly.


This stock picking method is currently prevailing in the market, and most of the recommended black horse is adopting this method. Its advantages are: there are performance support, stocks are less risky, and after buying it is more reassuring. Moreover, the method of value investment is popular among the people, and is widely accepted by the whole market. Securities dealers and fund managers also have a certain amount of money, and they are also a major force to pull up sharply. But its shortcomings are also very obvious.


First, too many people take this approach. At present, most of the recommended methods are black horse. Including brokerages, funds are also squeezed onto this road. It can be said that the stocks with good performance growth have not had a good rise in the past, and have reached the point where no one dares to catch up; that is, a large number of investors have entered, and the main force is afraid to pull the stage.


Two, trust the fund too much. The fund has successfully captured the mainstream hot spots, but it is 04 years ago. It has been in the past three years. Last year, the mainstream hot spot was Shanghai's local stocks, which the fund failed to capture. This year's mainstream hot spots are non-ferrous metals and petrochemical plates, and funds have not been successfully grasped. We must pay close attention to the recent failures of the fund. There is no need to adopt a homage attitude towards the fund.


Three, recent speculation in non-ferrous metals, resource stocks, the main stir is performance. Judging from the consistent way of the Chinese stock market, the next speculation is likely to be the theme stocks. Because of the color and resource speculation, the market has attached great importance to the performance, and the attention has focused on it. The theme stock has become a weakness of the market, and few people are concerned about it.


The second way to select stocks is to select stocks based on hype. It is aimed at the theme of mergers and acquisitions such as petro plate and so on. Mergers and acquisitions have always been a major theme of speculation in China's stock market, and there have been numerous vigorous hype. This stock selection method is in a neglected position because of the recent focus of market speculation on performance and growth. The advantage of this method is that once it rises, the rate of increase is particularly large, and the way of ascension is fierce. The disadvantage is that speculation relies heavily on news, and investors are generally at a disadvantage in obtaining information. Skyrocketing and plummeting, especially in the absence of performance support, fell particularly fiercely.


The third way of stock selection is based on the game theory, the opposite theory and the stock selection method. This method is divided into two kinds: one is to trace the main force from the decreasing number of shareholders. The other is from the opposite theoretical point of view, to adopt the method of abandoning and taking away from others. From the perspective of investment psychology, it focuses on game and focuses on finding errors in market groups. This method is still in the initial stage of stock market in China, and is seldom concerned by the market.


To sum up, we believe that: Based on the current market too many people take performance, growth of stock selection methods, coupled with the current market is optimistic about the future market; and the recent big color, resource performance. Therefore, we suggest that investors should temporarily abandon the stock picking method of performance and growth. Taking the principle of "abandoning" and "abandoning" by others, we should put the focus of the mainstream hot spots in the next stage on the subject matter and put it on the variety that few people care about. You know, the stock market is a place where only a handful of people win. Of course, when everyone in the market is concerned about the theme, or is not optimistic about the market, we can turn back the focus of stock selection on performance and growth. We believe that only when people take me away and people abandon it can we gain huge profits.


That is to say, if we want to win huge profits, we should put the focus of the next mainstream hot topics on the subject matter and put it on the variety that few people are concerned about. This is the magic trick that we are seeking huge profits in the near future.

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