The Changing Cotton Industry Of The Textile Industry In 2010
In nature, there are many miraculous lives. For example, there is a chameleon animal in the mountain stream. It can change its color at any time with time and external environment, so as to protect itself. In nature, this is called survival of the fittest.
From the middle of the world, the survival of the textile industry to cotton has been nowhere to be found.
Cotton prices rise - this is not an ordinary seasonal price increase - the second break through the new historical high. Even though the country has sold cotton reserves for several times, it has no effect on the high price of cotton.
Cotton is the most important raw material of the textile industry, and this year's situation is undoubtedly a blow to the textile industry.
Now, at last,
Cotton price
Has come down, even if there is a rebound, but after all, there is no ghosts high a few days ago.
At the moment, let's look back together and go into the memory of time to trace the reasons for the high cotton and the process of falling down. Of course, the most important thing is right.
textile industry
Heavy influence.
One, to be exact, the time when cotton prices began to rise significantly after the eleven golden week, eleven after the domestic market has changed, prices began to shake off the continuing downturn, there are signs of higher prices around the world cotton 100-300 yuan / ton increase. This should be a sign of cotton's initial price rise. From this point on, from then on, it began to know that in mid November, cotton prices rose with a trend that did not stop at a peak. Because there must be fruit, here, we are not difficult to sum up the internal and external factors of the soaring price of cotton.
(1) external factors: we also call them objective factors.
1, futures funds have sped up the rapid rise of cotton commodity futures and gradually passed to the spot market.
The surrounding agricultural products and commodities are rising. Cotton has always been relatively low. It has become the price depression in the commodity market, giving the capital the space to imagine. While the speculative capital is under the anticipation of the long term bullish, Cheng Xinshi's cotton commodities futures are in the range of the new year's Eve, and the rapid rise of the futures market has affected the spot market through the intensified market's worries about the later capital.
To sum up, this is the speculation of idle capital.
2, cotton sub line product rapid rise factor.
Cotton by-product cottonseed oil has been affected by the related edible oil. Since the year of last year, edible oil has always been at a high level, which is bound to drive up the price of cottonseed oil, which is the rise of oil and cashmere prices, which has led to the rapid climb of cottonseed prices.
3, the rising price trend of various kinds of agricultural products foreshadowed the rise in cotton prices.
After all, cotton can not escape from the category of agricultural products.
At that time, I still remember the only mung bean of the doctor Shen Wu Ben. At that time, there was a sigh that you were ruthless and teasing you. This late cotton boom seems to have been a metaphor for a long time.
4, weather reasons.
We must not deny that human beings can reach heaven.
Since mid late 9, China has been experiencing abnormal weather. Typhoons and rainy weather have a great impact on the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the the Yellow River Road area, which not only affects production, but also affects picking and selling.
With the passage of time, the main producing areas of Xinjiang are also facing frost at the moment, which has a great impact on the recent prices.
5, stir fry cotton: when cotton prices have gradually come to a close, the initiator of this round of price rises is also gradually emerging.
Among them, Zhejiang real estate developers and Shanxi coal bosses flocked to the main cotton producing area, throwing hundreds of millions of fried cotton.
(two) internal factors: we also call it subjective factors.
1, cotton production decreased.
For this reason, we can also relate to weather factors, but the reduction may not only be due to weather factors.
Technology, as well as some chemical fertilizers and pesticides needed in the process of planting cotton.
Somehow, we human beings are developing, and technology has been developing rapidly in legend. But long ago, we could not cope with the cotton condition.
This combination of factors together, cotton production is an inevitable situation.
2, cotton planting enthusiasm.
Farmers only want to get more income from planting cotton, but cotton prices have been declining for years.
The enthusiasm of cotton planting has been reduced, and cotton production has been cut down.
Here, in fact, there is a fact that in fact, for a few days ago, the farmers in the wild were really as high as income in rumours. I don't think the price of this high price is just that the market's hot money has come back to this high price, and the cotton farmers themselves are still very low in price.
3, lint's own bottom line gives the market the price imaginable.
Although cotton prices have always been sluggish and lint sales have not been improved, the new year's Eve funds represented by foreign and part of the new year's textile enterprises continue to buy lint in all cotton producing areas. This gives the market full imagination and, to a certain extent, let the market guess the bottom line of the price.
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Two, the rise in cotton prices is a fatal blow to the textile industry. Since this year, enterprises that can not cope with high cotton prices have been closed.
(1) cotton prices are hitting the textile industry: orders are eroding profits.
It has been calculated that the impact of cotton prices on the cost of textile industry is about 20%. Cotton prices continue to skyrocket and even have different prices every day, which directly leads to the rise in prices of raw materials such as cotton yarn and cotton cloth, thereby affecting the cost of the textile industry and the clothing enterprises in the middle and lower reaches.
(two) after the rise in cotton prices, clothing prices soar.
The purchasing cost of high priced raw materials is approaching the limit of the textile and garment enterprises. Some enterprises have reduced the scale of production and formulated measures to increase the price of finished garments. The retail price of brand clothing has increased by 10% - 15% this year.
Because of the rising cotton pressure and the sometimes slow motion of the downward pmission, plus the autumn and winter clothing materials far exceeding the summer products, the wholesale price of clothing products in autumn and winter is expected to increase by 10% - 15% this year, when domestic inflation expectations will further intensify, and the export of textile and garment will also be affected.
(three) cotton prices have great impact on the home textile industry.
Contrary to the trend of "cotton stocks", the downstream home textile enterprises are greatly inhibited by the rise in cotton prices.
With the rise in domestic cotton prices, home textile products such as sheets, quilts and other products have risen by more than half.
(four) chemical fiber products urgently follow suit: with the rise of cotton prices, chemical fiber products are also red across the board. Cotton prices have surged to record highs, stimulating the viscose staple fiber and substitute products spanning the price of cotton as raw material, and the price of spandex has gone up.
Since November, crazy cotton has begun to fall, while commodities are falling.
Recently, cotton rebounded again, but there was no earlier craziness in the rally.
Maybe we can see some market rules from the price rise of cotton.
industry chain
The mutual influence is really huge. Therefore, how to do well every precaution may become a more important issue for textile enterprises.
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