Domestic Polyester Filament Market Continues To Decline, The Rebound Is About To Start.
Last week, at home Polyester filament Market Under the impact of multiple negative factors, it continued to go down. The average drop in the week was 300-400 yuan / ton, and the decline of some FDY products was as high as 500-600 yuan / ton. and Polyester yarn price The decline is echoed, and its sales situation is not optimistic. Most of the weaving factories are buying and selling immediately, and their interest in storing goods has dropped to a low point. This makes the production and marketing rate of polyester factories continue to maintain at a low level this week. The average production and sales rate of the factories is only about 40%, even though the better factories are only about 70%, and the inventory of the manufacturers has risen to a higher level. The inventory of FDY products is about 12 days, and the stock of FDY is about 15 days. The inventory of DTY products is at a high risk level, and the price of polyester is not good enough for about 30 days, which fully reflects the current market downturn.
In terms of product prices, Shengze market filament products Price For example, as of the end of last week, market POY 75D/36F Price For 8300-8500 yuan / ton, the price of POY 75D/72F is 8500-8700 yuan / ton, the price of DTY 75D/36F is 10400-10500 yuan / ton, the price of DTY 75D/72F (light network) is 11500-11900 yuan / ton, and the price of DTY 75D/144F is 11500-11600 yuan / ton, DTY 150D/288F Price At 10100-11600 yuan / ton, the price of FDY 50D/24F is 9900-10200 yuan / ton, the price of FDY 63D/24F is 9400-9600 yuan / ton, the FDY 75D/36F luminous price is 9000-9100 yuan / ton, FDY 150D/96F Price It's 8300-8400 yuan / ton.
Judging from the variety of sales, last week, the sales of POY series products were weak. Even the demand for the POY wire, which had been more active in the earlier stage, also showed a marked decline. DTY products were mostly semi porous products such as DTY75D/144F, 150D/144F, 288F and so on, and the sales of FDY products were better than those of matting and fine denier yarn. Last week, the upstream raw material PX products came out of the single side down the market, its Asia Price Has fallen to $840 / ton, subject to PX price For most of the time, the price of the internal market has fallen to 5800-5900 yuan / ton, and the weekly decline is 400 yuan / ton. The mainstream price in the external market is between 690-700 dollars / ton, and the weekly market price has dropped by 50 yuan / ton. At the same time, the performance of the MEG market is still weak. By the end of last week, the mainstream negotiated price of the internal market has dropped to 3600-3700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream negotiation price of the external market has reached 440-450 yuan / ton, and the weekly decline has reached 300 yuan / ton. In addition, the price of polyester chip market has also dropped synchronously. By the end of last week, the mainstream market quotation has dropped to 6900 yuan / ton (cash acceptance), and the mainstream negotiation price has been reduced by 200 yuan / ton in 6700-6800 yuan / ton (cash). Decline, PTA spot market prices last week
Upstream raw materials Price The low collective price has become the main "short" power to push the price of filament yarn down. In addition, the downstream textile terminal market has always been difficult to improve, and the downstream weaving plant's operating rate is also insufficient. For example, the integrated boot in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has been about 65%, which makes it difficult to enlarge the consumption of polyester in the downstream, and fundamentally inhibit the polyester market. In addition, some polyester factories have taken the price reduction measures to digest the increasing inventory, which has contributed to the fall of the filament market.
Well, in the new week, Polyester filament Market Can it be stabilized or even rebounded?
Combined with the relevant market factors, I believe that this market out of this market probability is very large. I support the author's view that the international oil price was strong last week, and it will stimulate or drive the price of petroleum derivatives. 如上周二的时候,纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻油4月期货每桶41.65美元,比前一交易日上涨1.50美元,交易区间39.44-42.07美元;伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油4月期货每桶43.7美元,比前一交易日上涨1.49美元,交易区间41.6-44.1美元;周三收盘时纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻油4月期货每桶45.38美元,比前一交易日上涨3.73美元,交易区间43.85-44.3美元;伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油4月期货每桶46.12美元,比前一交易日上涨2.42美元,交易区间43.1-46.54美元;周四虽然欧美原油期货获利回吐,美国原油期货盘中跌破43美元,收盘下跌4%,但周五的时候 受石油输出国组织(欧佩克)可能减产以及美元贬值等因素影响,国际油价大幅回升,到当天收盘时,纽约商品交易所4月份交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.91美元,收于每桶45.52美元,涨幅近4%。
The London International Petroleum Exchange's April delivery of Beihai Brent crude oil futures rose 1.21 US dollars to close at $44.85 a barrel.
国际油价在经过大幅度下跌之后的强劲反弹,其代表的不仅仅是一种价格行为,更主要的是向市场表明油价已经不会有大的下跌空间,这对下游衍生产品的价格走向意义重大。再考虑进PX、PTA产品价格本轮行情以来下跌幅度比较大,市场做空能量得到了很好的宣泄,继续下跌的空间已经被封闭,所以原料对长丝市场的压力在新的一周并不会太大。
Two, polyester factories are in a loss situation at present. According to Sinopec's PTA and MEG2 monthly settlement price of 6400 yuan and 4400 yuan / ton, then the absolute cost of polyester is 7000 yuan / ton, so the cost of half light POY, DTY and FDY150D is roughly 8100, 9200, 8400 yuan / ton, and at present Spot market The paction price has been in a state of apparent loss. The maximization of profit is the goal pursued by enterprises. Polyester manufacturers will take corresponding measures to restrain them. product price Continue to fall.
Three, some downstream weaving enterprises have already consumed the raw material reserves after the Spring Festival. Although the strategy of buying and using them has been maintained recently, once the price of the filament tends to be stable, the emergence of a new round of centralized purchasing behavior will not be ruled out, and the emergence of such a situation will surely boost the long silk market.
To sum up, the author thinks that Ben Round polyester filament Market The fall is coming to an end, and the rebound will soon begin.
Editor in chief: Xu Qiyun
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