The Textile Market Continues To Heat Up And Enter The Selling Season.

According to the prosperity monitoring results of the China Textile Federation circulation branch, in September 2019, the national textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 52.69, an increase of 2.96 percentage points from 49.73 in August, and the professional market business climate index was 52.67, up 1.74 percentage points from 50.93 in August.

A management boom, business boom recovery data

According to statistics, in September, the prosperity index of managers and merchants of textile and garment market continued to rise and entered the peak season of sales.

1, managers' prosperity index increased by 2.96 percentage points, chart 1 index of managers.

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the manager's prosperity index, in September, the manager's prosperity index was 52.69, up 2.96 percentage points from 49.73 in August, and the operating environment index was 54.84, up 2.58 percentage points from 52.26 in August.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 53.55, an increase of 2.90 percentage points from 50.65 in August; the logistics delivery volume index was 53.87, a 3.22 percentage point increase from 50.65 in August; the passenger flow index was 54.19, a 4.51 percentage point increase over that of August; the opening rate index was 52.26, an increase of 49.03 percentage points over that of August; the rental index was 52.26, a percentage point higher than that of August; the electricity sales index was less than that of August, a percentage point higher than that of August.

2, business climate index rose 1.74 percentage points chart 2 list of merchant indices

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 52.67, up 1.74 percentage points from 50.93 in August, and the operating environment index is 54.64, up 1.94 percentage points from 52.70 in August.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 56, an increase of 3.52 percentage points from 52.48 in August; the average selling price index was 55.07, up 3.23 percentage points from 51.84 in August; the profit index was 55.57, 3.51 percentage points higher than 52.06 in August; the composite cost index was 47.14, a decrease of 48.87 percentage points over that of August; the stock index was 47.14, unchanged from August; the electricity supplier sales index was 47.14, a percentage point higher than that in August.

Two highlights data analysis

1, the total volume of market operation, logistics delivery and passenger flow increased significantly. In September, the proportion of total market operations increased by 48.39%, up 22.58 percentage points from 25.81% in August. The proportion of the increase in market logistics delivery was 48.39%, 22.58 percentage points higher than that in August, and the increase in passenger traffic volume was 51.61%, an increase of 32.26% percentage points over 19.35% in August. In September, with the full sale of the new autumn wear, the professional market realized a further increase in total business volume, logistics delivery volume and passenger volume on the basis of August. Among them, the proportion of total business increase and logistics delivery increased by 50%, and the peak season of sales in the second half of the professional market is coming.

2, the sales volume index and profit index of businesses increased significantly. In September, the proportion of total sales increased by 66.43%, up 26.71 percentage points from 39.72% in August, and the proportion of business profits increased by 65%, up 28.83 percentage points from 36.17% in August.

3, the cost and inventory pressure of merchants is still relatively large. In September, the index of managers and merchants overall improved. The total cost index and inventory index of merchants were lower than 50 of the two indices. The composite cost index was 47.14, down 1.73 percentage points from 48.87 in August, and the stock index was 49.43, unchanged from August. Although the two indices are generally low, there are certain subjective roles of merchants. In September, the professional market entered the peak selling season, and merchants increased investment in the design and production of autumn clothing, buyers picking goods and marketing activities, and increased some of the costs. Merchants actively increased some inventory in order to cope with the increase in orders, which affected the final value of the two indicators to a certain extent.

Three forecast index data

According to the manager, the next management boom index is 54.52, up 0.97 percentage points from 53.55 in August, and the next operating environment index is 54.84, up 1.61 percentage points from 53.23 in August. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 55, up 2.02 percentage points from 52.98 in August, and the operating environment index for the next period is 55, up 1.74 percentage points from 53.26 in August. In October, the professional market is about to continue the selling season. Managers and merchants are more confident about the sales situation.

Enclosure:

1, monitoring method "textile and clothing market index of professional prosperity" from the "manager index" and "business index" two parts. Sampling method was adopted to select clothing and fabrics, home textiles and small commodities in different markets.

2, monitoring sample managers' prosperity samples are made up of 32 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's wear building, Jiangsu's Jiangsu home textile market, Shanghai new seven Pu clothing market, Liaoning's West willow clothing market, etc. The business life samples are composed of 150 businessmen, such as Tao Tao dress, Muzi hut, Ruili Han Shi, and Chi Di dress.

3, the monitoring cycle, prosperity monitoring cycle in the monthly unit, at the end of each month at the end of the month and the beginning of the month.

4, the index constitutes the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of the first phase of the manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next operating environment index four first level index; "the current manager's prosperity index" consists of the total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the opening rate index, the rental index, the electricity supplier sales index six two level index.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first level indices, namely, the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. The "business climate index" is composed of six index two indices, namely, sales volume index, average price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and electricity supplier sales index.

5, the index analytic positive index includes the manager's total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the merchant door opening rate index, the rental index, the electricity supplier sales volume ratio index and the merchant sales index, the average selling price index, the profit index, the electricity supplier sales proportion index. The positive index is more than 50, which indicates that the business condition is optimistic, the bigger the value is, the more optimistic the positive index is less than 50, which indicates that the business condition is not optimistic; the smaller the value, the more pessimistic it is.

The reverse index includes the cost index and inventory index. The cost index is more than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, the greater the cost, the lower the cost pressure. The cost index is lower than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of business increases, the smaller the cost, the greater the cost pressure. An inventory index of more than 50 indicates that the inventory pressure decreases, the larger the inventory pressure is, the lower the inventory index is, which means that the inventory pressure increases, the smaller the inventory pressure, the greater the inventory pressure.