The Peak Season Is Approaching In September, But Textile Market Is Still Very "Buddha"? Can The Order Goods Carry The Heavy Load In The Busy Season?

In accordance with past practice, the market order will be released in late August, laying the groundwork for the arrival of "Kim Gu", but compared with the fiery 2018, the textile market in 2019 appears somewhat cold and cheerless, whether it is polyester raw material or weaving enterprise, it seems that it has become "Buddha system".

Since the beginning of August, when Trump announced that he added 300 billion dollars and 10% customs duties in September (after some products were postponed to December), which led to a sharp fall, the price of polyester raw materials was like "stagnant water" in the following days, and fluctuated only in a very small range every day.

Take the PTA futures contract 1909 as an example. In July, on the 23 trading day, the time limit for trading or limit down was 6 days, which was more than 1/4, which can be said to be very stimulating.

But in August, in addition to the two wave of Trump's announcement of tax increases and later announced tax delays, the PTA futures lost almost no more than 100 points in the rest of the day, and became "Buddha" incomparable.

Why does the price of raw materials become so "Buddha"? More because the downstream weaving enterprises have also become "Buddha system".

Over the past few years, when raw material prices have gone up and down, weaving in the lower reaches is always the most exciting. (what is the price announcement on Wednesday? At the same time, it is also the most impulsive (many of the raw materials were once priced without market, and the polyester rose twenty thousand! 。

However, in June and July of this year, raw material prices were ups and downs. At the same time, weaving enterprises were more of a "cold shoulder to look at" attitude.

In the process of market visits, most of today's weaving enterprises also say that they will not hoard raw materials for a few months like the past two years. They are basically buying and using materials, and the raw material procurement cycle is shortened to 1-2 weeks.

Now, weaving enterprises see that raw materials have gone up, most of them are just looking at it. It is impossible to hoard goods and store goods.

Recall that in the 16 and 17 years, the traditional textile cluster of Jiangsu and Zhejiang Province just started to rewind the production capacity of water jet looms, which caused a uproar in the market at that time. It may be a bit too much to say "complaining", but some complaints are always indispensable.

This year, the regulation of water jet looms in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces has entered the stage of ending and sprinting. The number of water looms has not been slower than the previous two years. Unlike the past two years, the boss of the weaving factory is waiting for the government to evaluate and reclaim the workshop.

In the face of the closure of factories, the owners of weaving factories have become "Buddha systems". Anyway, the compensation is in place, and the loan is returned. The remaining money is stored in the bank every year to eat interest, and when doing the market, do business again and enjoy life.

The word "Buddha" was first used to describe young people who worked hard in big cities. They struggled for many years, but because of the high housing prices, they could not see the way to go. Finally, they became indifferent and indifferent to other things. Is this not the case in the textile industry?

For raw material enterprises The price of polyester raw materials is rising or falling. No matter the rise or fall, it is unlikely that the downstream weaving enterprises will be able to endure for a long time, and eventually become a stable state.

For weaving enterprises Whether the raw material is up or down, the cloth produced will not be sold anyway, and the money will be stored in grey cloth, and there is not much money to store the raw materials.

For the weaving factory owner who is facing a retreat. If the factory has been open for so long, it will be a bit reluctant. But what can it do? Anyway, now the factory is tired and unable to earn money. It is very old. After the hard working years, it is very good.

So in the final analysis, it is still because the market environment is really bad, manufacturers do not have profits, and there is no demand downstream.

September is the traditional peak season for textile industry. Although the market is going to be worse this year, people's basic clothing demand is there. The basic quantity will still be there every year.

As a matter of fact, from this week, orders for textile enterprises have increased significantly since the beginning of this week, and some of the dyeing factories have also seen a long time out of the "burst warehouse" news, and the market has improved.

And polyester raw materials, raw materials in the near future is more because a downstream weaving enterprises do not buy it, resulting in the "passive Buddha" state. At present, both PTA and polyester filament prices are in a very low position, and the average production and sales of polyester factories have also increased significantly over the first two months, which seems to be gaining momentum.

Perhaps in the near future, the price of polyester raw materials will start to rise. I do not know that at that time, weaving enterprises may hardly be able to "Buddha" again. Source: polyester filament, Chinese silk net.