Global Cotton Inventories Rise, Production And Consumption Down In 2019/20
In August 13, 2019, the US Department of Agriculture released the global cotton supply and demand monthly report. In 2019/20, the final inventory increased by 442 thousand tons from last month due to the sharp reduction in global cotton consumption. The increase in the initial period was mainly due to the reduction of 108 thousand tons of global cotton consumption in 2018/19. This month, global cotton production fell by 39 thousand tons in 2019/20, but the increase in inventory and consumption by 261 thousand tons at the beginning of the year were much higher than the reduction in output. Cotton consumption in mainland China, India and Uzbekistan has also been reduced.
About US cotton data: in the month of 2019/20, the US cotton initial inventory, output, export volume and ending inventory were all raised this month. According to NASS's first annual output forecast, US cotton production increased by 2% to 4 million 903 thousand tons in 2019. As cotton planting area and unit yield increased slightly from last month, US cotton output hit the highest level in 14 years. The US cotton stocks increased by 54 thousand tons at the beginning of the year, because the US cotton exports in 2018/19 were lower than expected. US cotton exports increased by 44 thousand tons in 2019/20, and the final inventory increased by 109 thousand tons to 1 million 568 thousand tons. Cotton growers are expected to receive an average price of 60 cents / pound in 2019/20, down 3 cents from last month.
Global cotton supply and demand forecast for USDA2019 August (2019/2020) | |||||||
Unit: 10000 tons | Aggregate supply | Total consumption | loss | Ending inventory | |||
opening inventory | yield | Import volume | Domestic consumption | Export volume | |||
Global | One thousand seven hundred and forty-seven point seven | Two thousand seven hundred and thirty-four point nine | Nine hundred and fifty-five point eight | Two thousand six hundred and seventy-nine point six | Nine hundred and fifty-four point seven | Eight point seven | One thousand seven hundred and ninety-five point two |
U.S.A | One hundred and fourteen point three | Four hundred and ninety point three | Zero point two | Sixty-seven point five | Three hundred and seventy-four point five | Five point nine | One hundred and fifty-six point eight |
Five Central Asian countries | Fifty-four point nine | One hundred and fourteen point five | Zero | Eighty-six point nine | Thirty-two point nine | Zero | Forty-nine point nine |
African Franc area | Thirty point five | One hundred and thirty point two | Zero | Three | One hundred and twenty-two point eight | Zero | Thirty-four point eight |
Australia | Thirty-four point eight | Forty-one point four | Zero | Zero point nine | Thirty-nine point two | Zero | Thirty-six point four |
Brazil | Two hundred and sixty-one point one | Two hundred and sixty-one point three | One point seven | Seventy-eight point four | One hundred and seventy-four point two | Zero | Two hundred and seventy-one point five |
India | One hundred and ninety-eight point eight | Six hundred and thirty-one point four | Thirty point five | Five hundred and forty-four point three | Ninety-one point four | Zero | Two hundred and twenty-four point nine |
Mexico | Fifteen point seven | Thirty-seven | Eighteen point five | Forty-three point five | Twelve | Zero point seven | Fifteen point two |
Chinese Mainland | Seven hundred and seventy-four point nine | Six hundred and four point two | Two hundred and twenty-eight point six | Eight hundred and seventy point nine | Two point eight | Zero | Seven hundred and thirty-four |
European Union | Five point four | Thirty-seven point two | Fourteen point eight | Fifteen point nine | Thirty-five point five | Zero point seven | Five point four |
Turkey | Thirty-six point six | Eighty-nine point three | Sixty-five point three | One hundred and forty-five point nine | Eight point three | Zero | Thirty-seven |
Pakistan | Fifty-seven point three | One hundred and seventy-four point two | Sixty-one | Two hundred and thirty-three | Two point two | Zero point seven | Fifty-six point eight |
Indonesia | Eleven point one | Zero | Seventy-one point nine | Sixty-nine point seven | Zero point two | Zero | Thirteen point three |
Thailand | Four point one | Zero | Twenty-five point seven | Twenty-five | Zero | Zero point seven | Four point one |
Bengal | Thirty-eight point eight | Three | One hundred and fifty-eight point nine | One hundred and sixty-one point one | Zero | Zero point two | Thirty-nine point four |
Vietnam? | Twenty-four point eight | Zero | One hundred and sixty-nine point eight | One hundred and sixty-five point five | Zero | Zero | Twenty-nine point two |
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