The Economic Outlook Is Bad. Where Has The Dollar Appreciated?

Recently, chemical and nonferrous metals have gone up very well. Do you know who is behind the scenes? It's Trump.

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After more than two years of appreciation, many people have more or less an idea: do I have to change dollars?

But soon I was beaten. If you changed the US dollar at the beginning of this year, that would be a 103.82 high point.

From the beginning of this year, the highest point has dropped for five consecutive months, with a depreciation rate of about 8%. The US dollar index explains what is called diving.

Has the fed not been clamoring to raise interest rates, and say where the dollar appreciation is going to go?

Since 2014, the Federal Reserve has begun to raise interest rates, guide the appreciation of the dollar, and attract global capital to the United States, of course, including us.

But all of this came to an end shortly after Trump came to power in early 2017. The good appreciation trend of the dollar was broken, and Trump was awarded the "first class merit" award.

On the promise of giving more bread to the American people on the throne.

Its goal is to expand American exports, earn more money from other countries (including China, Japan and the euro area), narrow the US trade deficit and provide more jobs for the American working class, so Trump can not see the appreciation of the US dollar. Only the depreciation of the US dollar can promote US exports.

I wonder if Trump is too dedicated in this respect. In order to suppress the US dollar, a series of economic data is not enough, such as recent personal income and expenditure, ISM manufacturing index and construction expenditure.

The overall performance is not ideal.

The prospect of poor economic prospects has stimulated the further weakening of the US dollar.

The US dollar's rivals, such as the euro zone, Japan and the UK, have been growing quite strongly recently, close to or even faster than the US economic growth. The ECB and the Bank of England have also indicated that they should tighten monetary policy. This expectation has significantly boosted the domestic long term interest rates in the eurozone and the UK and other economies, and prompted us to abandon the US dollar to pursue the euro and sterling, and the US dollar will have to depreciate.

In fact, the depreciation of the US dollar is very good for us. Not to mention the long distance, we will take this time to increase the price of resources.

Although the price increases involve many factors of supply and demand, the impact of the US dollar is quite large.

International commodities are priced in US dollars, and the US dollar index has fallen, so the price of US dollar denominated commodities will rise. For example, the price of crude oil is stimulated by this stimulus. The price of chemical industry chain products with petroleum as raw material will definitely rise.

Therefore, the US dollar index has to be seen for bulk investment.

Trump's attitude to lower the dollar on the stage has brought us an excellent investment opportunity. Everything is so skillfully linked. Trump is definitely a big "stock god". It should be worshipped by A retail investors.

In the face of such a generous gift from Trump, maybe the shareholders will say that we are really carrying a daughter-in-law across a single plank bridge.

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